Did you know Germany has the world's most powerful and well-armed Foreign Legion in the world?
It's true, and you won't read about it anywhere else. However, we first need to briefly review where the German has been and where it is going:
Timeline of German Military Since WWII
Before Fall of USSR: West Germany and East Germany both supported large land armies.
After Fall of USSR: The West German military absorbed the East German military.
After absorbing the East German military, the German military itself completely reorganized.
Today, the German military primarily operates under a multinational umbrella organization and in conjuction with other NATO forces.
Sounds Great, but What About Russia?
Yeah, about Russia.
Germans know Russia very well. They have an excellent, if not almost perfect, understanding of how Putin's regime operates. It doesn't hurt that the Germans have former Prime Ministers on the board of Gazprom or a former East German Commissar, Angela Merkel, is now the Prime Minister of Germany.
Gem in German Defence Crown
Keep in mind that Germans are masters of espionage. In fact, Germans are so good, they have managed to conceal their expertise from the world's attention. This is Germany's most powerful weapon.
NATO: Political Unity is the Best Defense
European countries understand that Russia, if she were to invade, would always use a divide & conquer approach.
This means that fielding large armies in an un-unified Europe is less effective than smaller armies in a unified and coordinated Europe.
Because of this advantage of a unified European command for common European defence, it remains an objective of the EU to transition from a NATO framework to one of a European Military with a true EU-wide command.
We anticipate the EU to realize this European Army in the near future.
Germany's Problem: Can't Have it Both Ways
Under this collaborative, multi-national defence model, it is almost politically impossible for Germany to launch any war of aggression abroad: it would require a consensus of the other powers, and if you wage a war of aggression to benefit your own elite, the payoff isn't worth the risk if you have to share the plunder with many other members of a coalition.
France gets around this with a small yet highly effective Foreign Legion, but its small size restricts its abilities against larger or more well-armed adversaries.
Germany has to be able to check Russian power, and so a tiny Foreign Legion won't be effective. What is the solution, then?
Germany: Outsourcing Wars of Empire to Turkey
Germany has a deep and profound influence on Turkey. With this influence, Germany decided that, rather than engaging in costly wars directly, she could out outsource the conflict to her ally, Turkey.
Turkey & Germany: An Old Alliance
This isn't the first time Turkey and Germany were allies: they were allies in World War I, and just like then, there were two main characteristics of this Turkish-German alliance:
- it was conducted in secret
- it was against Russia
German Strategy: Use Turkey to Counter Russia's Muslim Horde
With a Turkish alliance, Germany can quietly check Russia's ambitions in the middle east. This allows a secular Germany to use Turkish Muslims to kill other Muslims that are proxies for Russia.
Now, Germany can effectively check Russia in the middle east with German-backed Turks fighting Russian proxies and sometimes even Russian forces deployed into the middle eastern theatre. Germany has it both ways: a powerful coordinated defence in Europe under a broad coalition, and also a German Imperial proxy fighting to advance German power in the middle east and counter Russia directly, without depending on the United States.
What About the Kurds?
The Kurds have been receiving lots of support from Western intelligence agencies and even special forces. The Kurds present an intricate and entirely different question, but in summary, they live under clans and mafias, and it's very hard to get them to work effectively in large units.
This means ISIS crushes the Kurds in pitch battles whenever the Kurds are without huge Western air support and spotters.
Risks of This Deal
There is one gaping hole in the German-Turkish alliance: it assumes that the Muslim adversaries in the region are dumb. They were, in the past, but today, with ISIS, they are catching up, and as recent events have proven, ISIS has the ability, of course in collusion with various other parties within Turkey's elite, to seriously undermine the ruling party of Turkey.
ISIS knows exactly what it is doing when it attacks the credibility and potency of Erdogan: it undermines his ability to execute Germany's dual anti-ISIS, anti-Russian policy in the middle east. This puts huge pressure on Erdogan's alliance with Merkel and also pushes him more into making concessions with Putin, something ISIS wants.
It is for this reason that the Turkish government insists on censorship within Turkey on any successful ISIS attacks against the Turkish military or people.
When Does this Alliance End? When an European Army Forms
It remains to be seen that if using Turkey as a proxy against Russia will pay-off in the long run for Germany, but for now, it was a short-term necessity given the far greater domestic political objectives within Europe, namely building a European Army.
Hammer Meets Anvil: Catalyst for European Army?
It should be noted that an existential threat of terrorism to the ruling elite of the various EU nations did not hurt in pressuring European nations to accept a European Army.
Because we are about to leap to the truly hypothetical dimension, now, we will end this post with questions, rather than answers.
Questions for the Reader
Would the pan-national EU elite use terrorism against the European nation states to pressure them into submitting their armies under a unified European Command?
To what extent would the pan-national European elite agreed to collaborate with Putin in coercing European nation-states into submitting into a European Army framework vs NATO?
Did Putin break a rule by excessively interfering with the pan-national European project? Was this the reason he was punished and his ambassador killed and Choir plane bombed?
What security guarantees would a European Army require from Russia in exchange for dropping NATO and its American defence shield?
What role does the American media and Establishment play in this transition?
What would the American NeoCons do to stop Europe from escaping under American control and becoming another global power?
To what extent does Trump help Europe achieve this global power objective?